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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
US Elections
Outcomes
Gap
Probability
Label
Democratic Party
1pt gap
47%
YES
46 · 47
NO
53 · 54
48%
YES
47 · 48
NO
52 · 53
Republican Party
1pt gap
53%
YES
52 · 53
NO
47 · 48
52%
YES
51 · 52
NO
48 · 49